PMC Wagner, Coup, Grievances or Psy-Op

The Possibilities for the "March of Justice"

Coup d'État: Debunking the Theory

The recent events surrounding the so-called "March of Justice" have sparked widespread speculation and raised questions about the possibility of a coup d'état in Russia. However, upon closer examination of the available evidence and statements from relevant parties, it becomes clear that such a scenario is highly unlikely.

Statement from PMC Wagner

One of the key factors that dispel the notion of a coup is the statement issued by PMC Wagner, a Russian private military contractor. In their official statement, PMC Wagner, along with its founder E. V. Prigozhin, categorically denied any intention to oppose or call for a change in the presidency, central authorities, the constitutional system of the Russian Federation, or the goals and objectives of the New World Order (NWO). Instead, they demanded leadership of the Russian Ministry of Defense, accusing the current leadership of leading Russia to military defeat and deliberately destroying PMC Wagner.

Reliance on Russian Ministry of Defense

Another crucial aspect to consider is the reliance of PMC Wagner on the Russian Ministry of Defense for crucial supplies such as ammunition, food, aviation support, and fuel. It is evident that without this support, their operational capabilities would be severely hampered. However, there is no evidence to suggest that PMC Wagner would have run out of supplies or faced a critical shortage. Hence, the argument that a coup was imminent due to the depletion of resources does not hold up under scrutiny.

Absence of Support from Military Commanders and Oligarchs

Furthermore, it is important to note that PMC Wagner did not enjoy support from Russian military commanders, political figures, or oligarchs. The lack of endorsement from these influential stakeholders significantly undermines the possibility of a coup d'état. If such an operation were to be successful, it would require support from key players within the Russian establishment, which is clearly not the case here.

Grievances between Prigozhin and Russian Ministry of Defense

The grievances voiced by E. V. Prigozhin were primarily directed at the Russian Ministry of Defense, specifically Sergei Shoigu and Valery Gerasimov, rather than President Vladimir Putin. Prigozhin highlighted issues such as shell shortages during the Bakhmut offensive and alleged lies about Ukrainian losses in the Zaporozhye front. However, these public statements appear more focused on internal disputes rather than indicating a coup plot.

Potential Psy-Op: A More Likely Explanation

A more plausible explanation for the events surrounding the "March of Justice" is the possibility of a psychological operation (Psy-Op). The aim of such an operation could be to identify and expose Ukrainian and Western intelligence cells operating within Russia and Belarus. By orchestrating a high-profile event like the "March of Justice," the Russian FSB may have intended to flush out these cells and take appropriate action against them. Reports suggest that six Ukrainian cells were closed in Moscow on the same day as the events unfolded.

The confusion and chaos that ensued following the incident served to further obfuscate the situation, both domestically and internationally. This deliberate confusion would likely prevent any suspicion that the events were part of a planned Psy-Op.

Conclusion: Assessing the Plausibility

In conclusion, when assessing the plausibility of a coup d'état versus a Psy-Op, it becomes clear that the latter is a more likely explanation for the events of June 23rd and 24th. The absence of crucial elements required for a successful coup, coupled with the illogical nature of Prigozhin's public grievances, point towards a broader strategic objective rather than a genuine attempt to seize power.

The reputation of E. V. Prigozhin, while a matter of debate, may not be significantly impacted